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they are saying each video game matters on this planet of college soccer. It’s no longer totally proper. Within the period of the college football Playoff, every game matters except for those that don’t. Just ask Michigan State. The Spartans beat Michigan two weeks ago … However find themselves in the back of the Wolverines during this week’s playoff rankings because they misplaced to a Purdue team deemed important satisfactory for the proper 20 … However not good ample to store the Spartans from falling at the back of a crew they just beat.
or not it’s the type of common sense that twists your mind right into a pretzel.
fortunately, every opt for in the Six Pack does count. We count number the wins and the losses, and after remaining week, we proceed to pile up a lot more wins than losses. After a four-2 week, the column stronger to 37-23 on the season. Frankly, this column is constructing a résumé this is one or two decent losses far from the playoff’s top 25.
No. 8 Oklahoma at No. 13 Baylor: I have a feeling we’re going to peer a robust efficiency from the Sooners. They may be coming off a bye, which allowed them some additional time to now not only additional cement quarterback Caleb Williams into the offense, but also work on all the complications they had defensively. Nonetheless, here’s a crew that doesn’t quite have that extra gear we now have viewed in fresh seasons — the apparatus that allows for it to blow out first-rate opponents like the one it would face this weekend.
happily, we don’t want Oklahoma to blow out Baylor. Winning via a touchdown will do exactly fine and it may possibly do this. While Oklahoma has serious issues in the secondary, Baylor does too. We saw TCU expose some of these flaws last week, and whereas Baylor’s offense has been better than most people realize, Oklahoma is better outfitted to take advantage of the circumstance. Also, while Baylor has had success with its vertical passing online game, or not it’s mostly as a result of its ability to run the ball. Oklahoma’s defense has been strong towards the run, ranking 54th in success fee. That might hinder Baylor’s means to damage it deep. Oklahoma 34, Baylor 27
No. 19 Purdue at No. 4 Ohio State: I don’t doubt that Ohio State is likely one of the four gold standard groups in the nation, however we ought to consider the context of the condition. Here’s a very good Buckeyes squad, but it surely’s far from dominant. As a result of this, it’s complicated for me to trust it to cover spreads this colossal against able teams — principally powerful defensive groups like Purdue. The Boilermakers rank twelfth nationally in shielding success cost and twenty fifth in protective EPA. Granted, they haven’t faced many offenses like Ohio State’s, however their effects haven’t been opponent-based. Just final week, they held an explosive Michigan State offense in assess.
What’s most interesting about this game is the pink zone matchup. There’s no reason for a crew as talented as the Buckeyes to rank forty second nationally in pink zone efficiency, however they do, and Purdue’s defense ranks 15th in purple zone efficiency. Purdue’s protection additionally ranks ninth in force price and Ohio State QB C.J. Stroud has seemed shaky when compelled. Do not get me incorrect, Ohio State is the enhanced crew, however it isn’t blowing the doorways off this Boilermakers squad commonly enough to lay the facets. Ohio State 38, Purdue 20 | Purdue +20
Lock of the Week
Featured video game | Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets vs. Boston college Eagles
Boston faculty at Georgia Tech: When QB Phil Jurkovec back to action final week, he modified the outlook of this Boston faculty crew. Whereas i am now not going to tell you the Eagles are a powerhouse with Jurkovec, they’re a great deal improved offensively with him, which helps the entire crew. So after I see Boston school as an underdog towards a crew I think it’s enhanced than, it’s challenging for me to flow up the probability to guess on it.
Georgia Tech would not do anything else specifically neatly. Offensively, the Yellow Jackets rank 98th nationally in success price, 74th in features per possession and 118th in pink zone touchdown expense. Defensively, they rank 86th in success fee, 88th in points per possession, and 63rd in pink zone efficiency. That’s not the makings of a team i am trying to depend on as a favourite. Boston faculty has been the a lot improved crew defensively and now it’s improved offensively with Jurkovec again. This very nearly appears like stealing. Boston faculty 27, Georgia Tech 24 | Boston
Tulsa at Tulane: These aren’t two tremendous offenses we’re coping with here. Tulsa ranks 89th in offensive success expense, which places it ahead of Tulane in 106th. Regardless of the inefficiency, Tulane is in reality forward of Tulsa when it comes to facets per possession, ranking 78th at 2.07 while Tulsa is 102nd at 1.76. The greatest change is how these groups operate within the crimson zone. Tulane has scored touchdowns on 66.7% (37th nationally) of its pink zone possessions, while Tulsa is just at forty three.Eight% (124th). These pink zone struggles have been very plenty on reveal within the last minutes of Tulsa’s 28-20 loss to No. 5 Cincinnati.
or not it’s those struggles that make me extra confident to take the under despite the fact that these are two unhealthy defenses, too. Once I look at how these two teams battle to finish drives, I have a hard time seeing them creep previous this complete. As a cherry on properly, the latest forecast for the game is looking for some effective winds, so we can have an impact on both offenses negatively as smartly. Tulane 27, Tulsa 24 | below fifty five.5
South Carolina at Missouri: educate Shane Beamer is terribly lots exceeding my expectations for his first season at South Carolina. Sure, the Gamecocks have caught a few breaks, however on the conclusion of the day, they’re 5-4 and a win faraway from bowl eligibility. It truly is pretty dang wonderful when you consider that their preseason win total turned into set at three.5.
i admire their odds of getting that sixth win in opposition t Missouri. The Tigers have been an absolute mess defensively. They rank 127th in success expense, facets per possession and defensive EPA. Opponents have scored points on forty eight.1% of their possessions in opposition t this Tigers defense, which ranks 126th nationally. Any stat that you may discover about defense, be it traditional or advanced, tells you Missouri can’t stop anybody. A team that can’t cease anybody is never a crew you want to bet on as a favourite, primarily when or not it’s paired with an inefficient offense. South Carolina 31, Missouri 28 | South Carolina +1
Houston at Temple: here is the time of the season for those who need to retain your eyes out for groups that have given up hope. Temple matches the outline. The Owls have lost their closing four games badly, getting outscored one hundred eighty-27. In these 4 losses, they’ve allowed a horrific three.Sixty seven points per possession and teams have scored on 57.1% of their drives. Offensively, they’ve managed only scored 0.Sixty one points per force.
This team seems to have let go of the rope and isn’t drawn to trying to pick it lower back up. Perhaps it rallies this week towards a Houston group nevertheless combating for a convention title, however likely no longer. Houston 45, Temple 10 | Houston -24.5
SportsLine choose of the Week
No. 6 Michigan at Penn State: Whoops! I ran out of room within the Six Pack, however there is another play this weekend that i wished to include. If you are looking to find out what it is, you are going to need to head over to my SportsLine page.